南美足联主席：为庆祝世界杯百年，2030年世界杯应扩军至64队（南美足联主席建议：为纪念百年世界杯，2030年世界杯应扩军至64支球队）

发布日期：2026-01-26

Exploring 2030 World Cup hosting

I'm noting that for the 2030 World Cup, there's a decision for Spain, Portugal, and Morocco to co-host, with opening matches set in South America, celebrating 100 years. The format is expected to retain 48 teams, as confirmed by the FIFA Council. However, a proposal to expand to 64 teams might require substantial changes in qualification and increase the number of matches, which could lead to calendar congestion and fairness issues. Adjusting to 64 teams would be unusual and complex.Calculating potential match formats

If there are 16 groups of 4 teams and the top two advance, that leads to 32 teams in the knockout stage, resulting in a total of 127 matches, a significant increase from the 104 that would occur with 48 teams. I can discuss the potential qualification slots for each confederation under the 64-team format. It's essential to be careful with specifics and always verify information, even if the user hasn't asked for a fact-check. I will provide context about hosting and team allocations while including disclaimers when needed.



这是个提议型表态，不是已定方案。给你几点快速背景，方便判断这话有多可行：


既定规则：FIFA已把世界杯从2026起扩军到48队，并确定赛制为12组×4队、总计约104场。按现行决定，2030年也沿用48队。
2030主办：西班牙-葡萄牙-摩洛哥联合办赛，开场纪念比赛计划在南美举行以致敬百年。场馆与旅行本就复杂，增至64队会进一步拉长赛程/增加城市承载。
若扩到64队：典型格式是16组×4队，约96场小组赛+31场淘汰赛=约127场；比48队多出20%以上比赛，赛期、转播编排、安保与后勤压力显著上升。
利益与代价：商业收入与参赛覆盖面可能扩大，但竞技稀释、资格门槛下降、球员负荷和赛历拥堵都会放大。
决策门槛：需FIFA理事会调整赛制与名额分配，并与主办方/转播商重议合同；洲际名额再分配的政治博弈不小。

需要我怎么帮你跟进这条消息？


翻译成英文
做更详细的可行性/影响评估（含赛程与场次数测算）
列出可能的名额分配方案与受益/受损方
写一段评论/社媒短评
现查可靠来源验证原话与上下文（需联网）